Archive for economic collapse

The Ides of September Live on the Ochelli Effect – Mike Swanson (09/06/2017)

I was live on the Ochelli Effect Tuesday night at 8:00 PM.

You can download the MP3 file by clicking here.

Prenotes before the show that I made:

As I have been saying on this show I see a coming crisis coming in October…with US politics and the financial markets…

Going to talk about some things will have my eyes on this month involving the stock market and the upcoming Ken Burns show..

We think in time frames…

72 hours news cycle (and trading)
1 month
1 year
3-5 years
AND the past…history…

Where does North Korea fit in this?

Yesterday Mattis/Dumford today gap down but is the show a distraction?

The long game plan – China cards

Stock market is convering 2400 on the SPX
IWM, % stocks…

With stock market’s don’t think in predictions, but trends and turning points…

Gold is alive…

Politics and propagnda –
Ken Burns show:

Ken Burns and Lynn Novick Tackle the Vietnam War – NY Times

“The seeds of disunion we experience today, the polarization, the lack of civil discourse all had their seeds in Vietnam,” Mr. Burns said. “I can’t imagine a better way to help pull out some of the fuel rods that create this radioactive atmosphere than to talk about Vietnam in a calm way.”

….

Mr. Burns, in addition to including a range of perspectives in the film, said he had deliberately sought financial support from “across the spectrum,” with sponsors including the Ford Foundation, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and David H. Koch.

“That’s a way of telling people ‘You can re-sheath your knives,’” he said.

….

While the people interviewed hold a range of views about the war, the filmmakers avoid what-ifs or might-have-beens, and don’t engage continuing debates over whether the war was winnable.

….

The film’s center of moral gravity is ordinary soldiers, whose sacrifice and loyalty to one another are repeatedly contrasted with the political machinations of the powerful, on both sides.

Not truth but deceny…

The opposite…

The long-play of Bannon’s political proganda…

The Trump Narrative: The Alt-Right’s Alternative Reality – JP Sottile

The big picture:

Donald Trump and the Coming Fall of American Empire – The Intercept

Donald Trump’s Coming October Man Made Crisis – Mike Swanson (08/29/2017)

I was live on The Ochelli Effect on Tuesday at 8:00 PM EST. You can listen to the recording by going here.

To download the MP3 audio you can also click this link.

notes:

White House ‘pressuring’ intelligence officials to find Iran in violation of nuclear deal – The Guardian – The Guardian

The Alt-Right’s Alternative Reality – JP Sottile

Big Money and programs…

The Golden Rule and Business Nationalism…..> protectionism, nativism, militarism

Seven months later what do we have?

A new phase – sock puppet… spring missile strike pnetagon taking control.. now August…

Deregulation and the political collapse of August 16.

Trump’s Pivot to Taxes Is Fraught With ‘Pitfalls Everywhere’ – Bloomberg

President Donald Trump is planning to kick off one of the most important sales pitches of his presidency this week — getting Americans fired up about rewriting the U.S. tax code.”

But there’s no plan to sell.”

Republicans don’t know who to talk to at White House – The Hill

Weds October 17 – > Bannon meets for 4 hours with “the godfather”

Thursday October 18 – >

Seeking Reset, Trump Dines With Some of His Biggest Donors – NY Times

not even a dozen…

“…people familiar with the dinner cast it as part of an ongoing series of donor-outreach events headlined by Mr. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence to cultivate and maintain support for the administration’s agenda from wealthy activists who have the capacity to fund conservative advocacy groups that seek to influence policy debates.”

Trump Wall ultimatum…

Trump’s Battle to Fund His Wall Squeezed by Deadline for Debt Limit – Bloomberg

Some of the president’s advisers consider a tough stand on border wall funding crucial to Trump’s credibility and even political survival, two White House officials said. Before his departure last week as Trump’s chief strategist, Stephen Bannon, urged the president to go through with a government shutdown if necessary to force Congress into providing money for the wall, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss strategy.

As allies in corporate America and the Republican establishment pull away from Trump and he declines in national polls, the president is increasingly dependent on a core following for whom his campaign vow of a border wall remains a visceral issue. The wall drama plays out as his decision to pour more troops and resources into Afghanistan risks disappointing supporters drawn by his pledges to cut U.S. military involvement abroad.

Failure to make progress on the border wall — or at least go to the mat on the issue — may fracture what has been a solid political base for the president, added a Republican consultant who closely follows that group of voters. Those loyal supporters haven’t shown signs of wavering amid the political backlash over Trump’s remarks on the violence in Virginia, but they need to see results on his promise of change if they are to stick with him, according to consultant, who also spoke on condition of anonymity.

Trump’s Shutdown Gamble – Juan Williams

3 out of 4 odds on predict it…

WSJ: Markets Eye Debt Ceiling with Unease:


Goldman Sachs 50% of total shutdown… WSJ economists 22% chance…

Debt limit kick can to December deal???

Why? -> a strange political game… political suicide? propaganda?

A narrative for the far-right:

Reports: Globalists in White House Oppose Trump’s Border Wall, Reforms – Breitbart

Gorka: Trump ‘isolated,’ GOP leaders living ‘fantasy illusion’ – The Hill

Bolton says ‘staff changes’ have prevented him from seeing Trump – The Hill:

In his op-ed, he wrote that former chief strategist Stephen Bannon had asked him to “draw up” for Trump a “game plan” for the Iran nuclear agreement, but he has not been able to present it to the president.

“Here it is. It is only five pages long, but like instant coffee, it can be readily expanded to a comprehensive, hundred-page playbook if the administration were to decide to leave the Iran agreement,” Bolton wrote.

Stock Market risks…